Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $574,856$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{648,892.6}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 166.1)}}\) (asimptote \(648,892.6\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32,953$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{42,632.4}{1 + 10^{-0.007 (t - 188.1)}}\) (asimptote \(42,632.4\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $82,653$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $310,851$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{662,556.2}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 237.9)}}\) (asimptote \(662,556.2\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,453$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $13,544$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $455,398$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{528,701.8}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 184.1)}}\) (asimptote \(528,701.8\))
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,671$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,662.6}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 155.8)}}\) (asimptote \(10,662.6\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $60,134$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $113,354$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{100,549.1}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 131.6)}}\) (asimptote \(100,549.1\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,190$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,271.5}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 148.5)}}\) (asimptote \(1,271.5\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $12,496$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $80,533$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{87,716.8}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 165.9)}}\) (asimptote \(87,716.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $316$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{322.0}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 150.3)}}\) (asimptote \(322.0\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,085$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $122,317$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{122,043.7}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 150.8)}}\) (asimptote \(122,043.7\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $749$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{661.4}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 90.5)}}\) (asimptote \(661.4\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,177$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $56,170$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{47,376.0}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 122.8)}}\) (asimptote \(47,376.0\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,134$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,173.1}{1 + 10^{-0.881 (t - 106.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,173.1\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,193$ on 2020-10-26
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $345,232$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{337,322.3}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 106.1)}}\) (asimptote \(337,322.3\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,313$ on 2020-10-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,346.6}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 122.8)}}\) (asimptote \(5,346.6\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,228$ on 2020-10-26